Stoke City
2-1
Sheffield United
Stoke City – Sheffield United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 1-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.29 – 1.30
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Stoke City 2-1 Sheffield United. The model predicted a win for Stoke City (36 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.29 goals for Stoke City and 1.30 for Sheffield United. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 42 %. Over their last five matches, Stoke City took 10 points and Sheffield United 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Stoke City, 0 draws, 4 wins for Sheffield United. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Stoke City | 2.25 | 42 % | -19.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.27 | 29 % | -2.7 % |
| 2Sheffield United | 3.23 | 29 % | +11.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Stoke City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sheffield United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Stoke City
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- Sheffield United
- Stoke City1-2Sheffield United
- Sheffield United4-0Stoke City
- Stoke City0-2Sheffield United
- Sheffield United2-0Stoke City
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Stoke City – Sheffield United?
Final score: Stoke City 2-1 Sheffield United. The model predicted a win for Stoke City (36 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Stoke City – Sheffield United?
Our model gives 1 · Stoke City a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Stoke City win 36 %, draw 30 %, Sheffield United win 35 %.