Eibar
Cádiz
Eibar – Cádiz
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 14, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 61 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.83 – 0.89
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Eibar at home (61 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.83 goals for Eibar and 0.89 for Cádiz. Bookmakers say the same thing: 58 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Eibar took 5 points and Cádiz 6 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Eibar, 1 draw, 2 wins for Cádiz. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Eibar | 1.62 | 58 % | -1.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 23 % | -10.1 % |
| 2Cádiz | 5.00 | 19 % | -17.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Eibar
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cádiz
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Eibar
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Cádiz
- Eibar3-1Cádiz
- Cádiz1-0Eibar
- Cádiz0-0Eibar
- Eibar1-0Cádiz
- Cádiz1-0Eibar
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Eibar – Cádiz?
Our model gives 1 · Eibar a 61 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Eibar win 61 %, draw 22 %, Cádiz win 16 %.
What is the most likely score for Eibar – Cádiz?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.