Granada
Las Palmas
Granada – Las Palmas
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 14, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.46 – 1.11
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Granada at home (43 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.46 goals for Granada and 1.11 for Las Palmas. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 52 %. Over their last five matches, Granada took 15 points and Las Palmas 12 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Granada, 2 draws, 2 wins for Las Palmas. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Granada | 1.80 | 52 % | -22.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | +1.6 % |
| 2Las Palmas | 4.30 | 22 % | +20.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Granada
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Las Palmas
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Granada
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Las Palmas
- Las Palmas2-0Granada
- Granada0-0Las Palmas
- Granada1-1Las Palmas
- Las Palmas1-0Granada
- Granada2-1Las Palmas
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Granada – Las Palmas?
Our model gives 1 · Granada a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Granada win 43 %, draw 29 %, Las Palmas win 28 %.
What is the most likely score for Granada – Las Palmas?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.