Cardiff City
3-1
Charlton Athletic
Cardiff City – Charlton Athletic
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.50 – 0.99
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Cardiff City 3-1 Charlton Athletic. The model predicted a win for Cardiff City (48 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.50 goals for Cardiff City and 0.99 for Charlton Athletic. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 58 %. Over their last five matches, Cardiff City took 2 points and Charlton Athletic 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cardiff City | 1.65 | 58 % | -20.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.25 | 22 % | +22.1 % |
| 2Charlton Athletic | 4.67 | 20 % | +8.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Cardiff City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Charlton Athletic
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Cardiff City – Charlton Athletic?
Final score: Cardiff City 3-1 Charlton Athletic. The model predicted a win for Cardiff City (48 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Cardiff City – Charlton Athletic?
Our model gives 1 · Cardiff City a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Cardiff City win 48 %, draw 29 %, Charlton Athletic win 23 %.