Tottenham Hotspur
2-3
Aston Villa
Tottenham Hotspur – Aston Villa
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.18 – 1.50
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Tottenham Hotspur 2-3 Aston Villa. The model predicted a win for Aston Villa (43 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.18 goals for Tottenham Hotspur and 1.50 for Aston Villa. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 24 %. Over their last five matches, Tottenham Hotspur took 5 points and Aston Villa 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Tottenham Hotspur, 0 draws, 4 wins for Aston Villa. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Tottenham Hotspur | 1.85 | 51 % | -45.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.77 | 25 % | +4.0 % |
| 2Aston Villa | 3.92 | 24 % | +69.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Tottenham Hotspur
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Aston Villa
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Tottenham Hotspur
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- Aston Villa
- Aston Villa1-2Tottenham Hotspur
- Tottenham Hotspur1-2Aston Villa
- Tottenham Hotspur1-2Aston Villa
- Aston Villa2-0Tottenham Hotspur
- Aston Villa2-1Tottenham Hotspur
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Tottenham Hotspur – Aston Villa?
Final score: Tottenham Hotspur 2-3 Aston Villa. The model predicted a win for Aston Villa (43 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur – Aston Villa?
Our model gives 2 · Aston Villa a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Tottenham Hotspur win 29 %, draw 28 %, Aston Villa win 43 %.