Kaiserslautern
01:00 PM
Sep 19
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
Kaiserslautern – TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:53 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.85 – 1.20
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59 %
- Both teams to score
- 59 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Kaiserslautern at home (55 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.85 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.20 for TSV Eintracht Braunschweig. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 49 %. Over their last five matches, Kaiserslautern took 10 points and TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 1 point. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Kaiserslautern, 0 draws, 3 wins for TSV Eintracht Braunschweig. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kaiserslautern | 1.93 | 49 % | +6.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.73 | 25 % | -14.5 % |
| 2TSV Eintracht Braunschweig | 3.60 | 26 % | -21.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Kaiserslautern
- Last 5 matches
- At home
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Kaiserslautern | Form and statistics | TSV Eintracht Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| 1532 | Elo | 1397 |
| 0.90 | Goals scored / match | 1.80 |
| 0.70 | Goals conceded / match | 2.00 |
| 12.5 | Shots / match | 13.8 |
| 50 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Kaiserslautern
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
- Kaiserslautern0-2TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
- TSV Eintracht Braunschweig2-0Kaiserslautern
- TSV Eintracht Braunschweig2-0Kaiserslautern
- Kaiserslautern3-2TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
- Kaiserslautern5-0
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kaiserslautern – TSV Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our model gives 1 · Kaiserslautern a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kaiserslautern win 55 %, draw 23 %, TSV Eintracht Braunschweig win 22 %.
What is the most likely score for Kaiserslautern – TSV Eintracht Braunschweig?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
