Real Oviedo
Girona
Real Oviedo – Girona
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 13, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.28 – 1.23
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Real Oviedo at home (36 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.28 goals for Real Oviedo and 1.23 for Girona. Bookmakers say the same thing: 40 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Real Oviedo took 8 points and Girona 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Real Oviedo, 2 draws, 2 wins for Girona. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Real Oviedo | 2.35 | 40 % | -14.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | -0.5 % |
| 2Girona | 2.95 | 32 % | -2.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Real Oviedo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Girona
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Real Oviedo
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Girona
- Real Oviedo1-0Girona
- Girona3-3Real Oviedo
- Girona2-1Real Oviedo
- Real Oviedo0-0Girona
- Real Oviedo0-1Girona
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Real Oviedo – Girona?
Our model gives 1 · Real Oviedo a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Real Oviedo win 36 %, draw 31 %, Girona win 33 %.
What is the most likely score for Real Oviedo – Girona?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.