Espanyol
1-3
Elche
Espanyol – Elche
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:52 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.45 – 1.11
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Espanyol 1-3 Elche. The model predicted a win for Espanyol (42 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.45 goals for Espanyol and 1.11 for Elche. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 53 %. Over their last five matches, Espanyol took 4 points and Elche 1 point. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Espanyol, 2 draws, 0 wins for Elche. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Espanyol | 1.80 | 53 % | -23.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 26 % | +8.5 % |
| 2Elche | 4.60 | 21 % | +30.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Espanyol
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Elche
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Espanyol
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Elche
- Elche2-2Espanyol
- Espanyol1-0Elche
- Elche2-2Espanyol
- Espanyol2-0Elche
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Espanyol – Elche?
Final score: Espanyol 1-3 Elche. The model predicted a win for Espanyol (42 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Espanyol – Elche?
Our model gives 1 · Espanyol a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Espanyol win 42 %, draw 29 %, Elche win 28 %.