Bristol City
1-0
Watford
Bristol City – Watford
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:52 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 53 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.63 – 1.00
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Bristol City 1-0 Watford. The model predicted a win for Bristol City (53 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.63 goals for Bristol City and 1.00 for Watford. Bookmakers say the same thing: 55 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Bristol City took 9 points and Watford 4 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Bristol City, 1 draw, 2 wins for Watford. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bristol City | 1.70 | 55 % | -9.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | +1.3 % |
| 2Watford | 4.50 | 21 % | -5.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bristol City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Watford
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Bristol City
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Watford
- Bristol City1-2Watford
- Bristol City5-1Watford
- Watford1-1Bristol City
- Bristol City2-1Watford
- Watford1-0Bristol City
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bristol City – Watford?
Final score: Bristol City 1-0 Watford. The model predicted a win for Bristol City (53 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Bristol City – Watford?
Our model gives 1 · Bristol City a 53 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bristol City win 53 %, draw 26 %, Watford win 21 %.