Real Sociedad II
Sporting Gijón
Real Sociedad II – Sporting Gijón
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 13, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 35 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.20 – 1.23
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Sporting Gijón away from home (35 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.20 goals for Real Sociedad II and 1.23 for Sporting Gijón. Bookmakers say the same thing: 32 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Real Sociedad II took 4 points and Sporting Gijón 9 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Real Sociedad II, 0 draws, 2 wins for Sporting Gijón. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Real Sociedad II | 2.50 | 37 % | -15.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.05 | 31 % | -6.2 % |
| 2Sporting Gijón | 2.90 | 32 % | +2.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Real Sociedad II
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sporting Gijón
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Real Sociedad II
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Sporting Gijón
- Sporting Gijón1-0Real Sociedad II
- Real Sociedad II0-1Sporting Gijón
- Real Sociedad II2-1Sporting Gijón
- Sporting Gijón0-1Real Sociedad II
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Real Sociedad II – Sporting Gijón?
Our model gives 2 · Sporting Gijón a 35 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Real Sociedad II win 34 %, draw 31 %, Sporting Gijón win 35 %.
What is the most likely score for Real Sociedad II – Sporting Gijón?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.