AS Monaco
2-1
Lens
AS Monaco – Lens
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:52 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.62 – 1.55
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: AS Monaco 2-1 Lens. The model predicted a win for AS Monaco (40 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.62 goals for AS Monaco and 1.55 for Lens. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 52 %. Over their last five matches, AS Monaco took 13 points and Lens 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for AS Monaco, 1 draw, 2 wins for Lens. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 63 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AS Monaco | 1.81 | 52 % | -27.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.88 | 25 % | -4.4 % |
| 2Lens | 4.10 | 23 % | +45.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AS Monaco
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lens
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- AS Monaco
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Lens
- Lens2-3AS Monaco
- AS Monaco1-4Lens
- Lens4-0AS Monaco
- AS Monaco1-1Lens
- Lens2-3AS Monaco
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AS Monaco – Lens?
Final score: AS Monaco 2-1 Lens. The model predicted a win for AS Monaco (40 %): correct prediction.
Who will win AS Monaco – Lens?
Our model gives 1 · AS Monaco a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AS Monaco win 40 %, draw 25 %, Lens win 36 %.