Monza
2-1
Sassuolo
Monza – Sassuolo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:52 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 1-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.31 – 1.36
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Monza 2-1 Sassuolo. The model predicted a win for Monza (38 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.31 goals for Monza and 1.36 for Sassuolo. Bookmakers say the same thing: 33 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Monza took 4 points and Sassuolo 8 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Monza, 0 draws, 0 wins for Sassuolo. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Monza | 2.80 | 33 % | +5.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 28 % | -6.3 % |
| 2Sassuolo | 2.45 | 38 % | -17.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Monza
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sassuolo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Monza
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Sassuolo
- Monza1-0Sassuolo
- Sassuolo0-1Monza
- Sassuolo1-2Monza
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Monza – Sassuolo?
Final score: Monza 2-1 Sassuolo. The model predicted a win for Monza (38 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Monza – Sassuolo?
Our model gives 1 · Monza a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Monza win 38 %, draw 28 %, Sassuolo win 34 %.