Predictions are closed for this match.
Albacete
08:30 PM
Sep 18
Córdoba
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Albacete | 2.55 | 37 % | -6.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | +1.2 % |
| 2Córdoba | 2.60 | 36 % | -8.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Albacete
Córdoba
| Albacete | Form and statistics | Córdoba |
|---|---|---|
| 1505 | Elo | 1458 |
| 1.10 | Goals scored / match | 1.20 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded / match | 1.80 |
| 11.4 | Shots / match | 18.4 |
| 40 % | Win rate | 30 % |
| 6 | Rest days | 5 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:52 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Albacete a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Albacete win 37 %, draw 28 %, Córdoba win 35 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 50 %, and both teams scoring at 54 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 2.55 for Albacete, 3.60 for the draw, 2.60 for Córdoba.
Kick-off is scheduled for Friday, September 18, 2026 at 08:30 PM (LaLiga 2), at Carlos Belmonte.
The model leans towards Albacete at home (37 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.33 goals for Albacete and 1.32 for Córdoba. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Albacete took 1 point and Córdoba 3 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Albacete, 2 draws, 1 win for Córdoba. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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