Dijon FCO
Orléans
Dijon FCO – Orléans
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 13, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.68 – 1.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Dijon FCO at home (52 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.68 goals for Dijon FCO and 1.00 for Orléans. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 60 %. Over their last five matches, Dijon FCO took 9 points and Orléans 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dijon FCO | 1.51 | 60 % | -21.9 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | +0.4 % |
| 2Orléans | 5.00 | 18 % | +21.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Dijon FCO
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Orléans
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Dijon FCO – Orléans?
Our model gives 1 · Dijon FCO a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Dijon FCO win 52 %, draw 24 %, Orléans win 24 %.
What is the most likely score for Dijon FCO – Orléans?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.