FC Groningen
3-0
PEC Zwolle
FC Groningen – PEC Zwolle
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:52 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 60 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.06 – 1.00
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: FC Groningen 3-0 PEC Zwolle. The model predicted a win for FC Groningen (60 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.06 goals for FC Groningen and 1.00 for PEC Zwolle. Bookmakers say the same thing: 60 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, FC Groningen took 5 points and PEC Zwolle 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for FC Groningen, 3 draws, 1 win for PEC Zwolle. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Groningen | 1.57 | 60 % | -6.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.32 | 22 % | +2.1 % |
| 2PEC Zwolle | 5.13 | 18 % | -15.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
FC Groningen
- Last 5 matches
- At home
PEC Zwolle
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- FC Groningen
- 3 draws
- 1 win
- PEC Zwolle
- PEC Zwolle1-1FC Groningen
- FC Groningen2-2PEC Zwolle
- PEC Zwolle2-0FC Groningen
- FC Groningen0-0PEC Zwolle
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of FC Groningen – PEC Zwolle?
Final score: FC Groningen 3-0 PEC Zwolle. The model predicted a win for FC Groningen (60 %): correct prediction.
Who will win FC Groningen – PEC Zwolle?
Our model gives 1 · FC Groningen a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Groningen win 60 %, draw 24 %, PEC Zwolle win 16 %.