Qatar
Australia
Qatar – Australia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 13, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.00 – 1.46
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45 %
- Both teams to score
- 49 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Australia away from home (50 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.00 goals for Qatar and 1.46 for Australia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Qatar took 2 points and Australia 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Qatar | 3.65 | 26 % | -12.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 29 % | -12.6 % |
| 2Australia | 2.10 | 45 % | +4.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Qatar
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Australia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Qatar – Australia?
Our model gives 2 · Australia a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Qatar win 24 %, draw 27 %, Australia win 50 %.
What is the most likely score for Qatar – Australia?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.