Saudi Arabia
South Korea
Saudi Arabia – South Korea
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 13, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.04 – 1.22
- Over 2.5 goals
- 39 %
- Both teams to score
- 46 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards South Korea away from home (43 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.04 goals for Saudi Arabia and 1.22 for South Korea. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, Saudi Arabia took 6 points and South Korea 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Saudi Arabia, 1 draw, 1 win for South Korea. Over 2.5 goals: 39 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Saudi Arabia | 4.20 | 22 % | +16.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.40 | 28 % | +0.4 % |
| 2South Korea | 1.90 | 50 % | -18.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Saudi Arabia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
South Korea
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Saudi Arabia
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- South Korea
- Saudi Arabia1-1South Korea
- Saudi Arabia0-1South Korea
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Saudi Arabia – South Korea?
Our model gives 2 · South Korea a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Saudi Arabia win 28 %, draw 30 %, South Korea win 43 %.
What is the most likely score for Saudi Arabia – South Korea?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.