São Bernardo
2-2
Athletic
São Bernardo – Athletic
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 12, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.60 – 1.01
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: São Bernardo 2-2 Athletic. The model predicted a win for São Bernardo (50 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.60 goals for São Bernardo and 1.01 for Athletic. Bookmakers say the same thing: 49 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, São Bernardo took 7 points and Athletic 5 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for São Bernardo, 0 draws, 1 win for Athletic. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1São Bernardo | 1.95 | 49 % | -1.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -7.4 % |
| 2Athletic | 3.80 | 25 % | -9.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
São Bernardo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Athletic
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- São Bernardo
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Athletic
- Athletic2-1São Bernardo
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of São Bernardo – Athletic?
Final score: São Bernardo 2-2 Athletic. The model predicted a win for São Bernardo (50 %): missed prediction.
Who will win São Bernardo – Athletic?
Our model gives 1 · São Bernardo a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: São Bernardo win 50 %, draw 26 %, Athletic win 24 %.