Barbados
0-3
Guadeloupe
Barbados – Guadeloupe
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 11, 06:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.46 – 1.89
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Barbados 0-3 Guadeloupe. The model predicted a win for Guadeloupe (50 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.46 goals for Barbados and 1.89 for Guadeloupe. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 42 %. Over their last five matches, Barbados took 10 points and Guadeloupe 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Barbados, 1 draw, 2 wins for Guadeloupe. Over 2.5 goals: 65 %. Both teams to score: 66 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Barbados | 2.90 | 31 % | -9.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 26 % | -35.0 % |
| 2Guadeloupe | 2.15 | 42 % | +8.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Barbados
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Guadeloupe
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Barbados
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Guadeloupe
- Guadeloupe2-2Barbados
- Guadeloupe2-1Barbados
- Barbados0-1Guadeloupe
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Barbados – Guadeloupe?
Final score: Barbados 0-3 Guadeloupe. The model predicted a win for Guadeloupe (50 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Barbados – Guadeloupe?
Our model gives 2 · Guadeloupe a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Barbados win 31 %, draw 19 %, Guadeloupe win 50 %.