Montenegro
2-1
Latvia
Montenegro – Latvia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 11, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 57 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.55 – 0.92
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Montenegro 2-1 Latvia. The model predicted a win for Montenegro (57 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.55 goals for Montenegro and 0.92 for Latvia. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 73 %. Over their last five matches, Montenegro took 11 points and Latvia 4 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Montenegro, 2 draws, 0 wins for Latvia. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Montenegro | 1.27 | 73 % | -28.1 % |
| XDraw | 5.25 | 18 % | +26.3 % |
| 2Latvia | 9.50 | 10 % | +83.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Montenegro
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Latvia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Montenegro
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Latvia
- Latvia1-2Montenegro
- Montenegro0-0Latvia
- Latvia1-2Montenegro
- Montenegro1-1Latvia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Montenegro – Latvia?
Final score: Montenegro 2-1 Latvia. The model predicted a win for Montenegro (57 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Montenegro – Latvia?
Our model gives 1 · Montenegro a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Montenegro win 57 %, draw 24 %, Latvia win 19 %.