Pau
2-0
Dunkerque
Pau – Dunkerque
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:52 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.25 – 1.43
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Pau 2-0 Dunkerque. The model predicted a win for Dunkerque (39 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.25 goals for Pau and 1.43 for Dunkerque. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 33 %. Over their last five matches, Pau took 5 points and Dunkerque 5 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Pau, 1 draw, 4 wins for Dunkerque. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Pau | 2.35 | 39 % | -21.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 28 % | -8.7 % |
| 2Dunkerque | 2.80 | 33 % | +8.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Pau
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Dunkerque
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Pau
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- Dunkerque
- Dunkerque3-1Pau
- Pau0-3Dunkerque
- Pau1-1Dunkerque
- Dunkerque3-2Pau
- Dunkerque1-0Pau
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Pau – Dunkerque?
Final score: Pau 2-0 Dunkerque. The model predicted a win for Dunkerque (39 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Pau – Dunkerque?
Our model gives 2 · Dunkerque a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Pau win 33 %, draw 28 %, Dunkerque win 39 %.