Albania
2-0
Finland
Albania – Finland
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 11, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.34 – 1.09
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Albania 2-0 Finland. The model predicted a win for Albania (44 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.34 goals for Albania and 1.09 for Finland. Bookmakers say the same thing: 46 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Albania took 9 points and Finland 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Albania, 0 draws, 1 win for Finland. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Albania | 2.00 | 46 % | -11.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.00 | 31 % | -22.8 % |
| 2Finland | 4.10 | 23 % | +23.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Albania
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Finland
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Albania
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Finland
- Finland2-1Albania
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Albania – Finland?
Final score: Albania 2-0 Finland. The model predicted a win for Albania (44 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Albania – Finland?
Our model gives 1 · Albania a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Albania win 44 %, draw 26 %, Finland win 30 %.