Stade Léopold Sédar Senghor
Senegal
4-1
Sudan
Senegal – Sudan
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 11, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 80 %
- Most likely score
- 2-015 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.26 – 0.57
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Senegal 4-1 Sudan. The model predicted a win for Senegal (80 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.26 goals for Senegal and 0.57 for Sudan. Bookmakers say the same thing: 83 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Senegal took 10 points and Sudan 6 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Senegal, 1 draw, 0 wins for Sudan. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 39 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Senegal | 1.09 | 83 % | -13.0 % |
| XDraw | 8.00 | 11 % | +17.5 % |
| 2Sudan | 17.00 | 5 % | -6.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Senegal
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sudan
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Senegal
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Sudan
- Senegal3-1Sudan
- Senegal2-0Sudan
- Sudan0-0Senegal
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Senegal – Sudan?
Final score: Senegal 4-1 Sudan. The model predicted a win for Senegal (80 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Senegal – Sudan?
Our model gives 1 · Senegal a 80 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Senegal win 80 %, draw 15 %, Sudan win 6 %.