Stade de Bouaké
Ivory Coast
2-1
Gambia
Ivory Coast – Gambia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 11, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 72 %
- Most likely score
- 2-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.07 – 0.70
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Ivory Coast 2-1 Gambia. The model predicted a win for Ivory Coast (72 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.07 goals for Ivory Coast and 0.70 for Gambia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 75 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Ivory Coast took 9 points and Gambia 10 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Ivory Coast, 0 draws, 0 wins for Gambia. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 44 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ivory Coast | 1.21 | 75 % | -13.3 % |
| XDraw | 5.50 | 17 % | -2.2 % |
| 2Gambia | 11.00 | 8 % | +16.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Ivory Coast
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Gambia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Ivory Coast
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Gambia
- Ivory Coast1-0Gambia
- Gambia0-2Ivory Coast
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Ivory Coast – Gambia?
Final score: Ivory Coast 2-1 Gambia. The model predicted a win for Ivory Coast (72 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Ivory Coast – Gambia?
Our model gives 1 · Ivory Coast a 72 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Ivory Coast win 72 %, draw 18 %, Gambia win 11 %.