Felix Houphouet-Boigny
Benin
4-1
Central African Republic
Benin – Central African Republic
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 11, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 68 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.92 – 0.73
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Benin 4-1 Central African Republic. The model predicted a win for Benin (68 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.92 goals for Benin and 0.73 for Central African Republic. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 57 %. Over their last five matches, Benin took 7 points and Central African Republic 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Benin | 1.58 | 57 % | +6.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 26 % | -29.7 % |
| 2Central African Republic | 5.25 | 17 % | -35.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Benin
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Central African Republic
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Benin – Central African Republic?
Final score: Benin 4-1 Central African Republic. The model predicted a win for Benin (68 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Benin – Central African Republic?
Our model gives 1 · Benin a 68 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Benin win 68 %, draw 20 %, Central African Republic win 12 %.