Malta
1-1
Eswatini
Malta – Eswatini
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 12, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.38 – 0.95
The short version
Final score: Malta 1-1 Eswatini. The model predicted a win for Malta (52 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.38 goals for Malta and 0.95 for Eswatini. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 59 %. Over their last five matches, Malta took 13 points and Eswatini 1 point. Over 2.5 goals: 41 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Malta | 1.60 | 59 % | -16.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 25 % | -8.0 % |
| 2Eswatini | 5.75 | 16 % | +37.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Malta
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Eswatini
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Malta – Eswatini?
Final score: Malta 1-1 Eswatini. The model predicted a win for Malta (52 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Malta – Eswatini?
Our model gives 1 · Malta a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Malta win 52 %, draw 24 %, Eswatini win 24 %.