Lithuania
0-0
Suriname
Lithuania – Suriname
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 12, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.08 – 1.20
The short version
Final score: Lithuania 0-0 Suriname. The model predicted a win for Suriname (41 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.08 goals for Lithuania and 1.20 for Suriname. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 36 %. Over their last five matches, Lithuania took 7 points and Suriname 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 40 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lithuania | 2.80 | 34 % | -13.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.10 | 31 % | -13.8 % |
| 2Suriname | 2.65 | 36 % | +9.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Lithuania
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Suriname
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lithuania – Suriname?
Final score: Lithuania 0-0 Suriname. The model predicted a win for Suriname (41 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Lithuania – Suriname?
Our model gives 2 · Suriname a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lithuania win 31 %, draw 28 %, Suriname win 41 %.