Türkiye
1-2
Belgium
Türkiye – Belgium
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 11, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.26 – 1.59
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Türkiye 1-2 Belgium. The model predicted a win for Belgium (47 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.26 goals for Türkiye and 1.59 for Belgium. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 52 %. Over their last five matches, Türkiye took 3 points and Belgium 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Türkiye, 0 draws, 1 win for Belgium. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Türkiye | 3.75 | 25 % | +9.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 23 % | -4.3 % |
| 2Belgium | 1.76 | 52 % | -18.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Türkiye
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Belgium
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Türkiye
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Belgium
- Belgium3-0Türkiye
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Türkiye – Belgium?
Final score: Türkiye 1-2 Belgium. The model predicted a win for Belgium (47 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Türkiye – Belgium?
Our model gives 2 · Belgium a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Türkiye win 29 %, draw 24 %, Belgium win 47 %.