Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo
Equatorial Guinea
0-0
Zimbabwe
Equatorial Guinea – Zimbabwe
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 11, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.19 – 0.96
The short version
Final score: Equatorial Guinea 0-0 Zimbabwe. The model predicted a win for Equatorial Guinea (43 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.19 goals for Equatorial Guinea and 0.96 for Zimbabwe. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 37 %. Over their last five matches, Equatorial Guinea took 6 points and Zimbabwe 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 36 %. Both teams to score: 43 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Equatorial Guinea | 2.45 | 37 % | +4.4 % |
| XDraw | 2.90 | 31 % | -14.1 % |
| 2Zimbabwe | 2.90 | 31 % | -19.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Equatorial Guinea
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Zimbabwe
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Equatorial Guinea – Zimbabwe?
Final score: Equatorial Guinea 0-0 Zimbabwe. The model predicted a win for Equatorial Guinea (43 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Equatorial Guinea – Zimbabwe?
Our model gives 1 · Equatorial Guinea a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Equatorial Guinea win 43 %, draw 30 %, Zimbabwe win 28 %.