Stade des Martyrs
Congo DR
3-1
Sierra Leone
Congo DR – Sierra Leone
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 11, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 73 %
- Most likely score
- 2-014 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.01 – 0.63
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Congo DR 3-1 Sierra Leone. The model predicted a win for Congo DR (73 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.01 goals for Congo DR and 0.63 for Sierra Leone. Bookmakers say the same thing: 75 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Congo DR took 7 points and Sierra Leone 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Congo DR, 0 draws, 0 wins for Sierra Leone. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 41 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Congo DR | 1.21 | 75 % | -11.2 % |
| XDraw | 5.25 | 17 % | -8.6 % |
| 2Sierra Leone | 12.00 | 8 % | +10.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Congo DR
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sierra Leone
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Congo DR
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Sierra Leone
- Congo DR3-0Sierra Leone
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Congo DR – Sierra Leone?
Final score: Congo DR 3-1 Sierra Leone. The model predicted a win for Congo DR (73 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Congo DR – Sierra Leone?
Our model gives 1 · Congo DR a 73 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Congo DR win 73 %, draw 17 %, Sierra Leone win 9 %.