Ohene Djan Stadium
Ghana
2-0
Somalia
Ghana – Somalia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 11, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 74 %
- Most likely score
- 2-015 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.02 – 0.59
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Ghana 2-0 Somalia. The model predicted a win for Ghana (74 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.02 goals for Ghana and 0.59 for Somalia. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 85 %. Over their last five matches, Ghana took 1 point and Somalia 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 39 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ghana | 1.07 | 85 % | -21.2 % |
| XDraw | 8.50 | 11 % | +48.7 % |
| 2Somalia | 21.00 | 4 % | +85.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Ghana
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Somalia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Ghana – Somalia?
Final score: Ghana 2-0 Somalia. The model predicted a win for Ghana (74 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Ghana – Somalia?
Our model gives 1 · Ghana a 74 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Ghana win 74 %, draw 17 %, Somalia win 9 %.