Londrina
2-1
Náutico
Londrina – Náutico
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 10, 06:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.35 – 1.07
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Londrina 2-1 Náutico. The model predicted a win for Londrina (42 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.35 goals for Londrina and 1.07 for Náutico. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 54 %. Over their last five matches, Londrina took 4 points and Náutico 4 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Londrina, 1 draw, 1 win for Náutico. Over 2.5 goals: 43 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Londrina | 1.76 | 54 % | -26.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 25 % | +12.4 % |
| 2Náutico | 4.40 | 22 % | +27.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Londrina
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Náutico
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Londrina
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Náutico
- Náutico2-1Londrina
- Náutico1-2Londrina
- Londrina2-0Náutico
- Náutico1-2Londrina
- Londrina0-0Náutico
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Londrina – Náutico?
Final score: Londrina 2-1 Náutico. The model predicted a win for Londrina (42 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Londrina – Náutico?
Our model gives 1 · Londrina a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Londrina win 42 %, draw 29 %, Náutico win 29 %.