Rapid Vienna
07:30 PM
Sep 18
WSG Swarovski Tirol
Rapid Vienna – WSG Swarovski Tirol
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:52 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.59 – 0.79
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Rapid Vienna at home (77 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.59 goals for Rapid Vienna and 0.79 for WSG Swarovski Tirol. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 68 %. Over their last five matches, Rapid Vienna took 8 points and WSG Swarovski Tirol 7 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Rapid Vienna, 2 draws, 0 wins for WSG Swarovski Tirol. Over 2.5 goals: 66 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rapid Vienna | 1.38 | 68 % | +5.9 % |
| XDraw | 5.00 | 19 % | -22.3 % |
| 2WSG Swarovski Tirol | 7.00 | 13 % | -46.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Rapid Vienna
- Last 5 matches
- At home
WSG Swarovski Tirol
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Rapid Vienna | Form and statistics | WSG Swarovski Tirol |
|---|---|---|
| 1598 | Elo | 1428 |
| 2.80 | Goals scored / match | 1.10 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded / match | 1.60 |
| 17.8 | Shots / match | 9.6 |
| 70 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Rapid Vienna
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- WSG Swarovski Tirol
- WSG Swarovski Tirol1-1Rapid Vienna
- Rapid Vienna4-1WSG Swarovski Tirol
- WSG Swarovski Tirol0-0Rapid Vienna
- Rapid Vienna2-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
- WSG Swarovski Tirol1-2Rapid Vienna
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rapid Vienna – WSG Swarovski Tirol?
Our model gives 1 · Rapid Vienna a 77 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Rapid Vienna win 77 %, draw 16 %, WSG Swarovski Tirol win 8 %.
What is the most likely score for Rapid Vienna – WSG Swarovski Tirol?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
