Predictions are closed for this match.
Kasimpasa
07:00 PM
Sep 18
Konyaspor
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kasimpasa | 2.45 | 39 % | +10.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -9.8 % |
| 2Konyaspor | 3.00 | 31 % | -20.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Kasimpasa
Konyaspor
| Kasimpasa | Form and statistics | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| 1508 | Elo | 1473 |
| 1.20 | Goals scored / match | 1.10 |
| 1.30 | Goals conceded / match | 1.70 |
| 9.7 | Shots / match | 11.7 |
| 40 % | Win rate | 30 % |
| 5 | Rest days | 6 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:52 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Kasimpasa a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kasimpasa win 45 %, draw 29 %, Konyaspor win 26 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 48 %, and both teams scoring at 52 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 2.45 for Kasimpasa, 3.15 for the draw, 3.00 for Konyaspor.
Kick-off is scheduled for Friday, September 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (Süper Lig), at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium.
The model leans towards Kasimpasa at home (45 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.49 goals for Kasimpasa and 1.09 for Konyaspor. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 39 %. Over their last five matches, Kasimpasa took 9 points and Konyaspor 3 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Kasimpasa, 3 draws, 2 wins for Konyaspor. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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