SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1-1
1. FC Magdeburg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth – 1. FC Magdeburg
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:52 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.40 – 1.56
The short version
Final score: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg. The model predicted a win for 1. FC Magdeburg (40 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.40 goals for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1.56 for 1. FC Magdeburg. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, SpVgg Greuther Fürth took 4 points and 1. FC Magdeburg 12 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 2 draws, 1 win for 1. FC Magdeburg. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2.48 | 38 % | -17.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -2.1 % |
| 21. FC Magdeburg | 2.55 | 37 % | +1.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- Last 5 matches
- At home
1. FC Magdeburg
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- 1. FC Magdeburg
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth4-51. FC Magdeburg
- 1. FC Magdeburg4-5SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth1-11. FC Magdeburg
- 1. FC Magdeburg2-2SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of SpVgg Greuther Fürth – 1. FC Magdeburg?
Final score: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg. The model predicted a win for 1. FC Magdeburg (40 %): missed prediction.