Papua New Guinea
04:00 AM
Sep 18
Vanuatu
Papua New Guinea – Vanuatu
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:52 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.49 – 1.01
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Papua New Guinea at home (46 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.49 goals for Papua New Guinea and 1.01 for Vanuatu. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Papua New Guinea took 4 points and Vanuatu 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Papua New Guinea, 0 draws, 1 win for Vanuatu. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
No odds available for this match.
Form and statistics
Papua New Guinea
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Vanuatu
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Papua New Guinea | Form and statistics | Vanuatu |
|---|---|---|
| 1434 | Elo | 1469 |
| 0.63 | Goals scored / match | 0.86 |
| 2.88 | Goals conceded / match | 2.29 |
| 0.0 | Shots / match | 0.0 |
| 13 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Papua New Guinea
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Vanuatu
- Papua New Guinea0-1Vanuatu
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Papua New Guinea – Vanuatu?
Our model gives 1 · Papua New Guinea a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Papua New Guinea win 46 %, draw 24 %, Vanuatu win 30 %.
What is the most likely score for Papua New Guinea – Vanuatu?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
