Real Sociedad
1-2
AFC Bournemouth
Real Sociedad – AFC Bournemouth
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:50 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.25 – 1.68
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Real Sociedad 1-2 AFC Bournemouth. The model predicted a win for AFC Bournemouth (50 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.25 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.68 for AFC Bournemouth. Bookmakers say the same thing: 46 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Real Sociedad took 7 points and AFC Bournemouth 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Real Sociedad | 3.42 | 28 % | -5.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.63 | 26 % | -18.6 % |
| 2AFC Bournemouth | 2.05 | 46 % | +2.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Real Sociedad
- Last 5 matches
- At home
AFC Bournemouth
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Real Sociedad – AFC Bournemouth?
Final score: Real Sociedad 1-2 AFC Bournemouth. The model predicted a win for AFC Bournemouth (50 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Real Sociedad – AFC Bournemouth?
Our model gives 2 · AFC Bournemouth a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Real Sociedad win 28 %, draw 22 %, AFC Bournemouth win 50 %.