Crystal Palace
4-0
Lech Poznan
Crystal Palace – Lech Poznan
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:50 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.86 – 1.19
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Crystal Palace 4-0 Lech Poznan. The model predicted a win for Crystal Palace (54 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.86 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.19 for Lech Poznan. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 66 %. Over their last five matches, Crystal Palace took 6 points and Lech Poznan 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Crystal Palace | 1.44 | 66 % | -21.8 % |
| XDraw | 5.00 | 19 % | -5.5 % |
| 2Lech Poznan | 6.25 | 15 % | +66.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Crystal Palace
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lech Poznan
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Crystal Palace – Lech Poznan?
Final score: Crystal Palace 4-0 Lech Poznan. The model predicted a win for Crystal Palace (54 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Crystal Palace – Lech Poznan?
Our model gives 1 · Crystal Palace a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Crystal Palace win 54 %, draw 19 %, Lech Poznan win 27 %.