Olympiacos
PAOK
Olympiacos – PAOK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 59 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.77 – 0.90
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Olympiacos at home (59 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.77 goals for Olympiacos and 0.90 for PAOK. Bookmakers say the same thing: 56 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Olympiacos took 13 points and PAOK 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Olympiacos, 2 draws, 2 wins for PAOK. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Olympiacos | 1.66 | 56 % | -1.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 24 % | -6.1 % |
| 2PAOK | 4.80 | 19 % | -22.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Olympiacos
- Last 5 matches
- At home
PAOK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Olympiacos
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- PAOK
- Olympiacos1-1PAOK
- PAOK3-1Olympiacos
- Olympiacos0-0PAOK
- PAOK2-1Olympiacos
- Olympiacos4-2PAOK
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Olympiacos – PAOK?
Our model gives 1 · Olympiacos a 59 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Olympiacos win 59 %, draw 24 %, PAOK win 16 %.
What is the most likely score for Olympiacos – PAOK?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.