Vicenza
Cremonese
Vicenza – Cremonese
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.06 – 1.37
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44 %
- Both teams to score
- 49 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Cremonese away from home (42 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.06 goals for Vicenza and 1.37 for Cremonese. Bookmakers say the same thing: 39 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Vicenza took 4 points and Cremonese 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Vicenza, 1 draw, 1 win for Cremonese. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vicenza | 3.00 | 31 % | -15.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -5.8 % |
| 2Cremonese | 2.40 | 39 % | +0.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Vicenza
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cremonese
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Vicenza
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Cremonese
- Cremonese0-0Vicenza
- Vicenza0-1Cremonese
- Vicenza3-1Cremonese
- Cremonese0-1Vicenza
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Vicenza – Cremonese?
Our model gives 2 · Cremonese a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Vicenza win 28 %, draw 30 %, Cremonese win 42 %.
What is the most likely score for Vicenza – Cremonese?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.