Celtic
1-3
Ferencvaros
Celtic – Ferencvaros
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:50 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 68 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.37 – 0.99
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Celtic 1-3 Ferencvaros. The model predicted a win for Celtic (68 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.37 goals for Celtic and 0.99 for Ferencvaros. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 56 %. Over their last five matches, Celtic took 12 points and Ferencvaros 11 points. Over 2.5 goals: 65 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Celtic | 1.67 | 56 % | +13.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 24 % | -34.7 % |
| 2Ferencvaros | 4.70 | 20 % | -24.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Celtic
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Ferencvaros
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Celtic – Ferencvaros?
Final score: Celtic 1-3 Ferencvaros. The model predicted a win for Celtic (68 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Celtic – Ferencvaros?
Our model gives 1 · Celtic a 68 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Celtic win 68 %, draw 16 %, Ferencvaros win 16 %.