Oldham Athletic
Sheffield Wednesday
Oldham Athletic – Sheffield Wednesday
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.27 – 1.39
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Sheffield Wednesday away from home (40 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.27 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.39 for Sheffield Wednesday. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 46 %. Over their last five matches, Oldham Athletic took 3 points and Sheffield Wednesday 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Oldham Athletic | 3.25 | 30 % | +16.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 25 % | -5.3 % |
| 2Sheffield Wednesday | 2.10 | 46 % | -16.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Oldham Athletic
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sheffield Wednesday
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Oldham Athletic – Sheffield Wednesday?
Our model gives 2 · Sheffield Wednesday a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Oldham Athletic win 36 %, draw 24 %, Sheffield Wednesday win 40 %.
What is the most likely score for Oldham Athletic – Sheffield Wednesday?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.