Internazionale
Como
Internazionale – Como
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.82 – 1.38
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62 %
- Both teams to score
- 63 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Internazionale at home (48 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.82 goals for Internazionale and 1.38 for Como. Bookmakers say the same thing: 50 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Internazionale took 12 points and Como 15 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for Internazionale, 1 draw, 0 wins for Como. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 63 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Internazionale | 1.85 | 50 % | -11.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.12 | 23 % | +0.2 % |
| 2Como | 3.42 | 27 % | -3.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Internazionale
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Como
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- Internazionale
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Como
- Internazionale3-2Como
- Como3-4Internazionale
- Como0-0Internazionale
- Internazionale4-0Como
- Como0-2Internazionale
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Internazionale – Como?
Our model gives 1 · Internazionale a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Internazionale win 48 %, draw 24 %, Como win 28 %.
What is the most likely score for Internazionale – Como?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.