Besiktas
4-1
Marseille
Besiktas – Marseille
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:50 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 60 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.01 – 1.07
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Besiktas 4-1 Marseille. The model predicted a win for Besiktas (60 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.01 goals for Besiktas and 1.07 for Marseille. Bookmakers say the same thing: 56 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Besiktas took 9 points and Marseille 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Besiktas | 1.67 | 56 % | -0.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.27 | 22 % | -17.0 % |
| 2Marseille | 4.42 | 21 % | -7.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Besiktas
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Marseille
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Besiktas – Marseille?
Final score: Besiktas 4-1 Marseille. The model predicted a win for Besiktas (60 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Besiktas – Marseille?
Our model gives 1 · Besiktas a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Besiktas win 60 %, draw 19 %, Marseille win 21 %.