Le Mans
AS Monaco
Le Mans – AS Monaco
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.05 – 1.64
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards AS Monaco away from home (51 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.05 goals for Le Mans and 1.64 for AS Monaco. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 57 %. Over their last five matches, Le Mans took 4 points and AS Monaco 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Le Mans | 4.63 | 21 % | +1.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 23 % | +13.0 % |
| 2AS Monaco | 1.67 | 57 % | -14.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Le Mans
- Last 5 matches
- At home
AS Monaco
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Le Mans – AS Monaco?
Our model gives 2 · AS Monaco a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Le Mans win 22 %, draw 27 %, AS Monaco win 51 %.
What is the most likely score for Le Mans – AS Monaco?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.