Angers
Nice
Angers – Nice
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.13 – 1.48
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Nice away from home (43 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.13 goals for Angers and 1.48 for Nice. Bookmakers say the same thing: 47 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Angers took 4 points and Nice 12 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Angers, 1 draw, 3 wins for Nice. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Angers | 3.55 | 27 % | +2.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | +1.4 % |
| 2Nice | 2.02 | 47 % | -12.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Angers
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Nice
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Angers
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Nice
- Angers0-2Nice
- Nice0-1Angers
- Nice2-1Angers
- Angers1-4Nice
- Angers1-1Nice
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Angers – Nice?
Our model gives 2 · Nice a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Angers win 29 %, draw 28 %, Nice win 43 %.
What is the most likely score for Angers – Nice?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.