Manchester City
5-0
Norwich City
Manchester City – Norwich City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:50 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 86 %
- Most likely score
- 3-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 3.51 – 0.68
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Manchester City 5-0 Norwich City. The model predicted a win for Manchester City (86 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 3-0. It expects 3.51 goals for Manchester City and 0.68 for Norwich City. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 81 %. Over their last five matches, Manchester City took 15 points and Norwich City 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 79 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Manchester City | 1.15 | 81 % | -0.7 % |
| XDraw | 7.00 | 13 % | -40.4 % |
| 2Norwich City | 15.00 | 6 % | -22.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Manchester City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Norwich City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Manchester City – Norwich City?
Final score: Manchester City 5-0 Norwich City. The model predicted a win for Manchester City (86 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Manchester City – Norwich City?
Our model gives 1 · Manchester City a 86 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Manchester City win 86 %, draw 9 %, Norwich City win 5 %.