Kalmar FF
IK Sirius
Kalmar FF – IK Sirius
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.08 – 1.65
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards IK Sirius away from home (52 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.08 goals for Kalmar FF and 1.65 for IK Sirius. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 41 %. Over their last five matches, Kalmar FF took 4 points and IK Sirius 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Kalmar FF, 1 draw, 4 wins for IK Sirius. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kalmar FF | 2.90 | 32 % | -29.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | -17.8 % |
| 2IK Sirius | 2.30 | 41 % | +19.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Kalmar FF
- Last 5 matches
- At home
IK Sirius
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Kalmar FF
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- IK Sirius
- IK Sirius3-2Kalmar FF
- IK Sirius3-1Kalmar FF
- Kalmar FF1-2IK Sirius
- IK Sirius3-0Kalmar FF
- Kalmar FF2-2IK Sirius
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kalmar FF – IK Sirius?
Our model gives 2 · IK Sirius a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kalmar FF win 24 %, draw 24 %, IK Sirius win 52 %.
What is the most likely score for Kalmar FF – IK Sirius?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.