IF Brommapojkarna
Mjällby AIF
IF Brommapojkarna – Mjällby AIF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.49 – 1.25
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards IF Brommapojkarna at home (37 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.49 goals for IF Brommapojkarna and 1.25 for Mjällby AIF. Bookmakers say the same thing: 39 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, IF Brommapojkarna took 7 points and Mjällby AIF 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for IF Brommapojkarna, 2 draws, 3 wins for Mjällby AIF. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1IF Brommapojkarna | 2.40 | 39 % | -10.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | +1.1 % |
| 2Mjällby AIF | 2.75 | 34 % | -8.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
IF Brommapojkarna
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Mjällby AIF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- IF Brommapojkarna
- 2 draws
- 3 wins
- Mjällby AIF
- Mjällby AIF3-0IF Brommapojkarna
- IF Brommapojkarna0-1Mjällby AIF
- Mjällby AIF1-0IF Brommapojkarna
- IF Brommapojkarna0-0Mjällby AIF
- Mjällby AIF1-1IF Brommapojkarna
Frequently asked questions
Who will win IF Brommapojkarna – Mjällby AIF?
Our model gives 1 · IF Brommapojkarna a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: IF Brommapojkarna win 37 %, draw 29 %, Mjällby AIF win 33 %.
What is the most likely score for IF Brommapojkarna – Mjällby AIF?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.