AIK
BK Häcken
AIK – BK Häcken
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.40 – 1.57
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57 %
- Both teams to score
- 60 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards BK Häcken away from home (42 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.40 goals for AIK and 1.57 for BK Häcken. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 56 %. Over their last five matches, AIK took 5 points and BK Häcken 13 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for AIK, 3 draws, 2 wins for BK Häcken. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AIK | 4.30 | 22 % | +38.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | +6.0 % |
| 2BK Häcken | 1.68 | 56 % | -29.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AIK
- Last 5 matches
- At home
BK Häcken
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- AIK
- 3 draws
- 2 wins
- BK Häcken
- BK Häcken0-0AIK
- AIK2-2BK Häcken
- BK Häcken3-3AIK
- AIK0-2BK Häcken
- BK Häcken4-1AIK
Frequently asked questions
Who will win AIK – BK Häcken?
Our model gives 2 · BK Häcken a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AIK win 32 %, draw 26 %, BK Häcken win 42 %.
What is the most likely score for AIK – BK Häcken?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.